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--></style></head><body lang=DE-AT link="#467886" vlink="#96607D" style='word-wrap:break-word'><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-GB>Dear All,<br><br>You are invited to attend the VCEE seminar on Monday, November 17, from 11:30 to 13:00 hrs Vienna time. <br><br>The seminar takes place in <b>lecture</b> <b>hall 7 </b>(1<sup>st</sup> floor) at<b> Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1.<i><span style='color:red'><br></span></i></b><br>We will have one speaker: <b>Philipp Lergetporer </b>(TUM Munich)<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-GB>Webpage: </span><a href="https://www.mgt.tum.de/global-center-for-family-enterprise/prof-dr-philipp-lergetporer"><span lang=EN-GB>Prof. Philipp Lergetporer | TUM School of Management</span></a><span lang=EN-GB><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-GB><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-GB>Here is more information about the talk:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p style='margin:0cm'><b><span lang=EN-GB style='font-size:11.0pt;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p><p style='margin:0cm'><b><span lang=EN-GB style='font-size:11.0pt;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>Title: </span></b><span lang=EN-GB style='font-size:11.0pt;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>When the Headline Hits Home: Perceived Risk of Military Conflict and Preferences for Defense Policy (with Sebastian Blessea, Clara-Marie Pachea, Helen Zeidler)<o:p></o:p></span></p><p style='margin:0cm'><b><span lang=EN-GB style='font-size:11.0pt;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>Abstract:<o:p></o:p></span></b></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-GB>Global news is more frequently influenced by imminent and existing military conflicts. The perceived threat of these conflicts is likely a significant factor in shaping real-world public policies, which may account for the rise in military armament worldwide. We conduct a representative survey experiment in Germany to examine how providing information about expert-evaluated risks of a direct military conflict with Russia affects public perceptions and policy preferences. Experts evaluate the likelihood of a NATO–Russia conflict and a Germany–Russia conflict to be 48% and 28% over the next decade, respectively, but the general public tends to overestimate these probabilities on average. Providing the public with information about experts’ assessments raises concerns about potential conflict involvement, and increases support for defense policies, including higher defense spending, mandatory military service, military growth, and assistance to Ukraine. The treatment effects persist in a follow-up survey, suggesting persistent belief updating and shifts in defense-related preferences via perceived conflict risk.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-GB><br>If you are interested in meeting Philipp Lergetporer<span style='color:red'> </span>(meeting slots of 30’) you can register via this link:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-GB><a href="https://nuudel.digitalcourage.de/iyaEwYnsDnvFMpvQ">https://nuudel.digitalcourage.de/iyaEwYnsDnvFMpvQ</a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-GB><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-GB>Best regards,<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-GB>Sylvia<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div></body></html>